Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.167630 0.182585 0.198450 0.216564 0.236714 0.258482 0.283836
2026-02-08 0.138166 0.158760 0.182066 0.210533 0.244554 0.284138 0.334020
2026-02-15 0.120317 0.143599 0.171198 0.206613 0.251266 0.306249 0.379935
2026-02-22 0.110622 0.136159 0.167600 0.209634 0.265085 0.336766 0.438154
2026-03-01 0.101341 0.127900 0.161632 0.208288 0.272219 0.358366 0.486054
2026-03-08 0.093211 0.120175 0.155342 0.205434 0.276396 0.375597 0.528958
2026-03-15 0.085609 0.112409 0.148171 0.200428 0.276650 0.386739 0.563508
2026-03-22 0.082595 0.110522 0.148683 0.205961 0.292130 0.421013 0.636644
2026-03-29 0.079428 0.108117 0.148175 0.209793 0.305182 0.452591 0.709022
2026-04-05 0.075597 0.104460 0.145533 0.210106 0.312666 0.475916 0.770231
2026-04-12 0.070403 0.098476 0.139051 0.203995 0.309352 0.481248 0.800632
2026-04-19 0.065460 0.092565 0.132289 0.196901 0.303755 0.482064 0.822696
2026-04-26 0.061562 0.088089 0.127557 0.192901 0.303278 0.492137 0.864352
2026-05-03 0.057776 0.083589 0.122545 0.188120 0.301136 0.499192 0.901457
2026-05-10 0.054648 0.079922 0.118595 0.184772 0.301117 0.509939 0.947147
2026-05-17 0.053098 0.078611 0.118272 0.187424 0.311820 0.541379 1.039455
2026-05-24 0.050866 0.076091 0.115835 0.186249 0.315444 0.559672 1.106418
2026-05-31 0.048540 0.073295 0.112777 0.183756 0.316367 0.572693 1.163521
2026-06-07 0.046022 0.070063 0.108815 0.179379 0.313335 0.577424 1.202265
2026-06-14 0.045400 0.069895 0.109958 0.184217 0.328350 0.620480 1.337746
2026-06-21 0.044538 0.069277 0.110290 0.187565 0.340694 0.659251 1.469481
2026-06-28 0.043199 0.067790 0.109029 0.187838 0.346841 0.685236 1.573172
2026-07-05 0.041020 0.064776 0.104946 0.182498 0.341007 0.683982 1.604737